Odds for Spurs vs. Pelicans
|Odds via Caesars. Get updated NBA odds here.|
After a very exciting first night in the play-in tournament, we have the New Orleans Pelicans and San Antonio Spurs battling for a win or home game. The winner of this game will play away against the Los Angeles Clippers for a chance to get the No. 8 Seed and play against the Phoenix Suns.
Both teams come in very healthy in this match, so it should be a great match! The Pelicans are 5.5-points home favorites despite losing both of their home games against the Spurs this season. Can Spurs handle the three in a row?
How will Young Spurs adapt?
The Spurs had a disappointing finish losing their last three regular season games, but they got Dejounte Murray back from an illness in their last game. Murray had missed five games in a row but is ready to go tonight.
Getting Murray back gives Spurs a chance. He has exploded on the field in his fifth season in the league. Murray averages career highs in points, rebounds, assists and minutes. He has almost an average of a triple-double and is in second place after Nikola Jokic in triple-double this season with 13.
Murray is also an amazing two-way point guard who plays an incredible defense and will likely be awarded to CJ McCollum in this match. Murray leads the league with two steals on average per game. fight, while also being number four in assists.
Doug McDermott is the only player who will not be available for Spurs tonight. Outside of Murray, this Spurs team is very balanced. They have six current players who have double-digit points on average, with Keldon Johnson leading with 17 points per game. match. With DeMar DeRozan gone, many of these young Spurs wingers have had extended playing time and have produced.
This could be Gregg Popovich’s last postseason game, if we really think about it. Despite having such a young team, the Spurs’ play-off run is quite impressive. They are still 14 games below .500, but with arguably the best coach in NBA history on the sidelines, the Spurs will be well prepared and get to play.
Spurs won both games against the Pelicans on the road as they both went below the game total. Spurs are in sixth place this season, but we all know how the playoffs go. The game is slowed down and played at halfway. Both matches last night went below the total. The playoffs are another beast.
Pelicans with new look rolls
The Pelicans lost their last two games of the regular season, but that did not mean too much in terms of seeding. They had won eight of their previous 11 matches to enable themselves to lock in a home play-in match.
Since the McCollum deal, the Pelicans have been a completely different team. McCollum has an average career high of 24.3 points per game. match while shooting 49.3% from the field. He also has average career height in both rebounds and assists.
Brandon Ingram has been in and out of the Pelicans lineup for a while now. He missed 10 games in a row in March and has missed the last three games to end the regular season. Ingram and McCollum have played together in 15 out of 26 possible matches. This dynamic duo has won nine of these 15 matches.
Outside of Ingram and McCollum, Jonas Valanciunas has kept the inside down, averaging a double-double for the fourth season in a row. The Veterans Center has been a big addition to the Pelicans in his first season. He averages 30.3 minutes per game in his career, which raises the ceiling.
The Pelicans also simply have more depth than the Spurs have at this point. Devonte ‘Graham is perfect in a bench role where he can take most of the use on the second team. Herbert Jones has been incredibly defensive with an average of 1.7 steals per game. match, which is by far the most like rookie this season.
The average number of points per match scored in Pelicans home games this season has been 221.4 points, which is well below this current total. Seven of the last eight games between the Pelicans and Spurs have also gone below the total. It’s impossible to ignore, especially when you consider that this is an elimination game.
The sum of this Spurs and Pelicans game opened at 229 and is moving down fast. Right now it stands at 226 on most books – some even have it at 225. Jump on this as fast as you can before it moves even lower. Do not get too greedy, but I would take it down to 224.5.
Spurs also have some favorable trends working to their advantage tonight. They have covered the spread in seven-straight games and have won four-straight games against the Pelicans as an underdog. They may be worth looking at the money line at +185.
One last option to split is Dejounte Murray to record a triple-double is +400. Murray recorded a triple-double in two of their four games this season. He will have to be heavily involved if the Spurs have any chance of making it.
Pick: Under 226 points (-110)
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