2022 NFL Draft: The appearance of quarterbacks on draftboards is good news for the Giants

One of the ‘Big Blue View rules for draft success’ is “If you do not have a franchise quarterback, get one.”

That rule says “If you need a franchise quarterback, keep in mind that there’s one available when it’s your turn to draft, and keep throwing him out to embarrass you.”

There is a warning to that rule. It sounds:

“The downside of this rule is that you do not take the quarterback in the first round unless you are completely convinced that he can be the face of your franchise in the next decade. You can not pick a guy just to pick a quarterback , or because Mel Kiper, Todd McShay, another TV-talking head, media member or fan base says you should. You marry that player. You put the franchise’s fortunes in his hands. If you choose the wrong quarterback, you’re putting your franchise back.”

The reality is that the NFL is bad – really bad – when it comes to evaluating college quarterbacks and deciding which ones are worth trying to build franchises around. Do not you believe me? Here is the list of quarterbacks who have been drafted in Round 1 since 2010:

Round 1 QBs since 2010

2010

Nr. 1 – Sam Bradford (St. Louis Rams)
Nr. 25 – Tim Tebow (Denver Broncos)

2011

Nr. 1 – Cam Newton (Carolina Panthers)
Nr. 8 – Jake Locker (Tennessee Titans)
Nr. 10 – Blaine Gabbert (Jacksonville Jaguars)
Nr. 12 – Christian Ponder (Minnesota Vikings)

2012

Nr. 1 – Andrew Luck (Indianapolis Colts)
Nr. 2 – Robert Griffin (Washington Redskins)
Nr. 8 – Ryan Tannehill (Miami Dolphins)
Nr. 22 – Brandon Weeden (Cleveland Browns)

2013

Nr. 16 – EJ Manuel (Buffalo Bills)

2014

Nr. 3 – Blake Bortles (Jacksonville Jaguars)
Nr. 22 – Johnny Manziel (Cleveland Browns)
Nr. 32 – Teddy Bridgewater (Minnesota Vikings)

2015

Nr. 1 – Jameis Winston (Tampa Bay Buccaneers)
Nr. 2 – Marcus Mariota (Tennessee Titans)

2016

Nr. 1 – Jared Goff (Los Angeles Rams)
Nr. 2 – Carson Wentz (Philadelphia Eagles)
Nr. 26 – Paxton Lynch (Denver Broncos)

2017

Nr. 2 – Mitchell Trubisky (Chicago Bears)
Nr. 10 – Patrick Mahomes (Kansas City Chiefs)
Nr. 12 – DeShaun Watson (Houston Texans)

2018

Nr. 1 – Baker Mayfield (Cleveland Browns)
Nr. 3 – Sam Darnold (New York Jets)
Nr. 7 – Josh Allen (Buffalo Bills)
Nr. 10 – Josh Rosen (Arizona Cardinals)
Nr. 32 – Lamar Jackson

2019

Nr. 1 – Kyler Murray (Arizona Cardinals)
Nr. 6 – Daniel Jones (New York Giants)
Nr. 15 – Dwayne Haskins (Washington)

2020

Nr. 1 – Joe Burrow (Cincinnati Bengals)
Nr. 5 – Tua Tagovailoa (Miami Dolphins)
Nr. 6 – Justin Herbert (Los Angeles Chargers)
Nr. 26 – Jordan Love (Green Bay Packers)

2021

Nr. 1 – Trevor Lawrence (Jacksonville Jaguars)
Nr. 2 – Zach Wilson (New York Jets) |
Nr. 3 – Trey Lance (San Francisco 49ers)
Nr. 11 – Justin Fields (Chicago Bears)
Nr. 15 – Mac Jones (New England Patriots)

There are 39 quarterbacks in the first round. Take out the 2021 class because it’s too early for full assessment and it’s 34. I would argue that only eight guys – Newton, Luck, Mahomes, Watson, Allen, Jackson, Herbert – ever achieved true franchise quarterbacks status with their original team. That’s eight out of 34 (23.5 percent). Even if a few of the 2021 quarterbacks get there, the percentage will still be awful.

So no, the NFL really does not know how to look at quarterbacks and figure out which players have the right things to be franchise quarterbacks.

What does all this have to do with the New York Giants?

The Giants are not expected to be in the Day 1 quarterback market. Maybe the numbers above will help you understand why they want to take another shot with Daniel Jones before moving on. If they are to return to the draft for a quarterback in the first round, there is – perhaps – one in three chances of getting the star quarterback that each team is looking for.

Still, the reality that there are quarterback-needing teams that might be ready to take their turns, even if this is considered a mediocre quarterback class, may work in the Giants’ favor.

A few months ago, evaluators would tell you that there was not a single quarterback in this class worthy of a top-10 pick in the 2022 NFL Draft. However, the teams have been in the process of “talking themselves into being in love with a quarterback” for the past few months.

Now, depending on who you read or talk to, there may be a quarterback in the top 10. Maybe there will be three. Desperation after a potential quarterback upgrade could lead to as many as five quarterbacks being selected in Round 1.

All of this is great for the Giants.

The quarterback hotspot in Round 1 is believed to be No. 6, with the Carolina Panthers not being able to get the right position in Matt Rhules’ first two seasons as head coach. It is widely expected that the Panthers will take a big turn at quarterback at No. 6.

This of course means that with choices 5 and 7, the Giants and GM Joe Schoen sit in an excellent spot.

If a team like the Pittsburgh Steelers, New Orleans Saints, Seattle Seahawks or Atlanta Falcons has a clear No. 1 quarterback on their board they feel they need, the Giants are in a place to get a king’s ransom to move back.

The same goes for No. 7. If Carolina passes a quarterback, QB1 will likely still be on the board. If the Panthers pick Kenny Pickett or Malik Willis, QB-needing teams might get nervous and want to skip the Falcons as No. 8. Again, the Schoen and the Giants would be a great place to get the extra “at-bats” GM would like included in the draft.

So every time you read about Desmond Knight or Matt Corral as a potential top-10 pick, you hope it’s true. The more teams speak to desperate moves for quarterbacks, the more opportunities for the Giants.

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